Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 13.099018 14.907902 16.829458 19.017729 21.435543 24.020159 26.986804
2025-01-12 9.654179 11.972916 14.607461 17.803367 21.555183 25.799241 30.941462
2025-01-19 7.263229 9.781290 12.829937 16.749547 21.608103 27.383359 34.713194
2025-01-26 6.190402 8.972075 12.533233 17.346058 23.590482 31.321998 41.509592
2025-02-02 5.673352 8.774015 12.941526 18.819144 26.742646 36.888476 50.670809
2025-02-09 5.030004 8.290969 12.885815 19.634647 29.064664 41.519961 58.915687
2025-02-16 4.291796 7.547565 12.357720 19.711352 30.350089 44.825171 65.579402
2025-02-23 3.573757 6.714062 11.580400 19.320428 30.903901 47.120273 70.958120
2025-03-02 3.018950 6.047090 10.959017 19.068199 31.591210 49.586551 76.643681
2025-03-09 2.622505 5.579231 10.583227 19.130582 32.709096 52.680271 83.312735
2025-03-16 2.240058 5.070418 10.071696 18.910575 33.350212 55.076101 89.049716
2025-03-23 2.074803 4.939995 10.182051 19.701007 35.597085 59.941335 98.581639
2025-03-30 1.823222 4.608659 9.916467 19.861119 36.889844 63.496098 106.440605
2025-04-06 1.497598 4.063950 9.192789 19.154802 36.706970 64.756483 110.886447
2025-04-13 1.216901 3.557266 8.470234 18.368699 36.314595 65.641534 114.768496
2025-04-20 1.139961 3.505101 8.636544 19.228441 38.793768 71.233693 126.223175
2025-04-27 1.149189 3.663893 9.249210 20.976014 42.922371 79.678029 142.495724
2025-05-04 1.087994 3.634262 9.461159 21.961256 45.740994 86.070159 155.700298
2025-05-11 0.966452 3.422678 9.255792 22.104023 47.037774 89.970312 165.007984
2025-05-18 0.823366 3.119283 8.806505 21.710248 47.312230 92.138927 171.545573
2025-05-25 0.708897 2.869330 8.443802 21.454686 47.814750 94.698116 178.792902
2025-06-01 0.628561 2.702260 8.252797 21.537280 48.951073 98.380551 188.010228
2025-06-08 0.542321 2.493443 7.930591 21.303193 49.449750 100.947706 195.411529